Match Analysis

ValenciavsEspanyol

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
26%
38%
Valencia winDrawEspanyol win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.40
0.80Avg goals scored1.04
1.65Avg goals conceded1.44
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Valencia xG

Expected goals

1.3

Espanyol xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

10%

1–0

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Valencia

Valencia

DDDLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Espanyol

Espanyol

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Valencia vs Espanyol?

Espanyol is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Valencia's current form?

Valencia have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Valencia Win36%
Draw26%
Espanyol Win38%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%