โšก Match Analysis

Valencia vs Real Sociedad

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
18%
30%
Valencia winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.60
1.71Avg goals scored1.62
1.41Avg goals conceded1.83
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“3โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Valencia xG

Expected goals

1.7

Real Sociedad xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

8%

3โ€“1

7%

1โ€“1

6%

2โ€“2

6%

3โ€“2

6%

1โ€“2

5%

Home

Valencia

Valencia

WWDWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Valenciaall timeReal Sociedad
2W
1D
3W
17 May 26
Real Sociedad3โ€“4Valencia
16 Aug 25
Valencia1โ€“1Real Sociedad
19 Jan 25
Valencia1โ€“0Real Sociedad
28 Sep 24
Real Sociedad3โ€“0Valencia
16 May 24
Real Sociedad1โ€“0Valencia
27 Sep 23
Valencia0โ€“1Real Sociedad

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Valencia vs Real Sociedad?

Valencia is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Valencia's current form?

Valencia have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Valencia won 2, drew 1, and Real Sociedad won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Valencia Win52%
Draw18%
Real Sociedad Win30%
BTTS76%
Over 2.581%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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