Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Valencia xG
Expected goals
1.3
Villarreal xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
10%
1–0
10%
0–2
8%
1–2
8%
Home
Valencia
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.6 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Villarreal
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Valencia vs Villarreal?
Villarreal is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Valencia's current form?
Valencia have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Valencia won 1, drew 2, and Villarreal won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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