Match Analysis

Villarreal vs Deportivo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
19%
58%
Villarreal winDrawDeportivo win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.80
1.59Avg goals scored1.83
1.99Avg goals conceded1.22
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Villarreal xG

Expected goals

2.5

Deportivo xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

9%

11

7%

13

7%

02

6%

22

6%

01

5%

Home

Villarreal

Villarreal

LLLDD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Deportivo

Deportivo

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Deportivo?

Deportivo is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Villarreal's current form?

Villarreal have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Villarreal Win23%
Draw19%
Deportivo Win58%
BTTS71%
Over 2.576%

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