Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Villarreal xG
Expected goals
2.5
Deportivo xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–1
7%
1–3
7%
0–2
6%
2–2
6%
0–1
5%
Home
Villarreal
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Deportivo
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Deportivo?
Deportivo is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Villarreal's current form?
Villarreal have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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