Match Analysis

VillarrealvsElche

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
20%
23%
Villarreal winDrawElche win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.54Avg goals scored1.34
1.53Avg goals conceded1.87
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Villarreal xG

Expected goals

1.4

Elche xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Villarreal

Villarreal

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Elche

Elche

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Elche?

Villarreal is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Villarreal's current form?

Villarreal have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Villarreal Win57%
Draw20%
Elche Win23%
BTTS67%
Over 2.570%