Match Analysis

VillarrealvsReal Sociedad

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
20%
30%
Villarreal winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.55Avg goals scored1.72
1.53Avg goals conceded1.91
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Villarreal xG

Expected goals

1.7

Real Sociedad xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

2–0

5%

Home

Villarreal

Villarreal

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Real Sociedad?

Villarreal is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Villarreal's current form?

Villarreal have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Villarreal Win50%
Draw20%
Real Sociedad Win30%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%