Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
AJ Auxerre xG
Expected goals
2.6
Brest xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–3
7%
0–2
6%
1–1
6%
2–2
6%
0–3
5%
Home
AJ Auxerre
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.5
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Brest
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aj Auxerre vs Brest?
Brest is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aj Auxerre's current form?
Aj Auxerre have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Aj Auxerre won 2, drew 1, and Brest won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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