Match Analysis

AJ AuxerrevsLe Mans

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
17%
55%
AJ Auxerre winDrawLe Mans win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.30Avg goals scored1.60
2.64Avg goals conceded2.06
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

AJ Auxerre xG

Expected goals

2.9

Le Mans xG

83%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

6%

1–3

6%

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

1–1

4%

1–4

4%

Home

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Le Mans

Le Mans

DWDDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Le Mans is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AJ Auxerre's current form?

AJ Auxerre have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AJ Auxerre Win28%
Draw17%
Le Mans Win55%
BTTS83%
Over 2.588%