Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
AJ Auxerre xG
Expected goals
2.6
Marseille xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–3
8%
0–2
7%
1–1
7%
0–3
6%
2–2
6%
Home
AJ Auxerre
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Marseille
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Marseille?
Marseille is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AJ Auxerre's current form?
AJ Auxerre have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Ligue 1