Match Analysis

AJ AuxerrevsToulouse

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
12%
76%
AJ Auxerre winDrawToulouse win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.30Avg goals scored1.97
2.63Avg goals conceded1.44
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

AJ Auxerre xG

Expected goals

3.5

Toulouse xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–2

6%

1–4

6%

0–3

5%

2–2

5%

2–3

5%

Home

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Toulouse

Toulouse

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Toulouse?

Toulouse is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AJ Auxerre's current form?

AJ Auxerre have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AJ Auxerre Win12%
Draw12%
Toulouse Win76%
BTTS75%
Over 2.588%