โšก Match Analysis

Angers vs Lille

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

5%
18%
77%
Angers winDrawLille win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
0.67Avg goals scored1.26
1.75Avg goals conceded0.59
0โ€“3โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“2โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Angers xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lille xG

20%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“1

25%

0โ€“2

19%

0โ€“0

17%

0โ€“3

9%

1โ€“1

7%

1โ€“2

6%

Home

Angers

Angers

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Lille

Lille

LWDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Angersall timeLille
4W
22 Feb 26
Angers0โ€“1Lille
2 Nov 25
Lille1โ€“0Angers
27 Apr 25
Angers0โ€“2Lille
24 Aug 24
Lille2โ€“0Angers

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Angers vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Angers's current form?

Angers have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Angers won 0, drew 0, and Lille won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“1 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Angers Win5%
Draw18%
Lille Win77%
BTTS20%
Over 2.527%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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