Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Angers xG
Expected goals
1.5
Lille xG
26%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
22%
0–2
17%
0–0
15%
1–1
9%
0–3
8%
1–2
7%
Home
Angers
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Lille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Angers vs Lille?
Lille is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Angers's current form?
Angers have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Angers won 0, drew 0, and Lille won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
More from Ligue 1