โšก Match Analysis

Angers vs Lille

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
22%
71%
Angers winDrawLille win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
0.76Avg goals scored1.20
1.60Avg goals conceded0.55
0โ€“3โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“2โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Angers xG

Expected goals

1.3

Lille xG

19%

Both Teams to Score

22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“1

26%

0โ€“0

20%

0โ€“2

17%

1โ€“1

8%

0โ€“3

7%

1โ€“0

6%

Home

Angers

Angers

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Lille

Lille

LWDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Angersall timeLille
4W
22 Feb 26
Angers0โ€“1Lille
2 Nov 25
Lille1โ€“0Angers
27 Apr 25
Angers0โ€“2Lille
24 Aug 24
Lille2โ€“0Angers

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Angers vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Angers's current form?

Angers have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Angers won 0, drew 0, and Lille won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“1 (26% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 19%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Angers Win7%
Draw22%
Lille Win71%
BTTS19%
Over 2.522%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š