Match Analysis

AngersvsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
22%
56%
Angers winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.20
1.16Avg goals scored1.46
1.96Avg goals conceded1.23
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Angers xG

Expected goals

2

Marseille xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

9%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Angers

Angers

DWDLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Angers vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Angers's current form?

Angers have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Angers Win22%
Draw22%
Marseille Win56%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%