Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Angers xG
Expected goals
2.4
Stade Rennais xG
83%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
7%
2–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–2
5%
2–3
5%
3–1
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $24K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Angers
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Stade Rennais
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Angers vs Stade Rennais?
Stade Rennais is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Angers's current form?
Angers have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Angers won 0, drew 1, and Stade Rennais won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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