Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
AS Monaco xG
Expected goals
0.7
Lens xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
13%
1–0
12%
3–0
10%
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
3–1
7%
Home
AS Monaco
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Lens
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win As Monaco vs Lens?
AS Monaco is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is As Monaco's current form?
As Monaco have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, As Monaco won 3, drew 1, and Lens won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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