As Monaco vs Lens
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
AS Monaco xG
Expected goals
2.8
Lens xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
6%
1–3
6%
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
2–1
5%
3–2
5%
Home
AS Monaco
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 2.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Lens
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win As Monaco vs Lens?
Lens is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is As Monaco's current form?
As Monaco have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, As Monaco won 3, drew 1, and Lens won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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