Match Analysis

AS MonacovsLille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
32%
38%
AS Monaco winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
1.72Avg goals scored1.41
1.01Avg goals conceded0.63
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

1

Lille xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

15%

0–1

15%

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Lille

Lille

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Monaco vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Monaco's current form?

AS Monaco have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Monaco Win30%
Draw32%
Lille Win38%
BTTS38%
Over 2.530%