Match Analysis

AS MonacovsToulouse

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
17%
16%
AS Monaco winDrawToulouse win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.20
1.72Avg goals scored1.67
1.01Avg goals conceded1.86
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

1.2

Toulouse xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Toulouse

Toulouse

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Monaco vs Toulouse?

AS Monaco is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Monaco's current form?

AS Monaco have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Monaco Win67%
Draw17%
Toulouse Win16%
BTTS64%
Over 2.571%