Match Analysis

As Monaco vs Toulouse

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
24%
13%
AS Monaco winDrawToulouse win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.37Avg goals scored1.10
0.86Avg goals conceded1.72
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

0.7

Toulouse xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

14%

20

13%

11

10%

21

9%

30

8%

00

7%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Toulouse

Toulouse

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

As Monacoall timeToulouse
3W
2D
1W
25 Apr 26
Toulouse22AS Monaco
25 Oct 25
AS Monaco10Toulouse
7 Mar 25
Toulouse11AS Monaco
7 Dec 24
AS Monaco20Toulouse
18 Feb 24
AS Monaco12Toulouse
20 Dec 23
Toulouse12AS Monaco

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win As Monaco vs Toulouse?

AS Monaco is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is As Monaco's current form?

As Monaco have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, As Monaco won 3, drew 2, and Toulouse won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

AS Monaco Win63%
Draw24%
Toulouse Win13%
BTTS43%
Over 2.548%

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