Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
AS Monaco xG
Expected goals
0.7
Toulouse xG
43%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
14%
2–0
13%
1–1
10%
2–1
9%
3–0
8%
0–0
7%
Home
AS Monaco
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win As Monaco vs Toulouse?
AS Monaco is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is As Monaco's current form?
As Monaco have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, As Monaco won 3, drew 2, and Toulouse won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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