Match Analysis

Brest vs Lyon

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
24%
57%
Brest winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.40Avg goals scored1.43
1.44Avg goals conceded0.49
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Brest xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lyon xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

18%

02

14%

00

12%

11

11%

12

8%

03

7%

Home

Brest

Brest

LWDDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

DWDLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Brestall timeLyon
2W
1D
3W
18 Jan 26
Lyon21Brest
2 Nov 25
Brest00Lyon
2 Mar 25
Lyon21Brest
11 Jan 25
Brest21Lyon
14 Apr 24
Lyon43Brest
23 Sep 23
Brest10Lyon

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brest vs Lyon?

Lyon is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brest's current form?

Brest have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Brest won 2, drew 1, and Lyon won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Brest Win19%
Draw24%
Lyon Win57%
BTTS35%
Over 2.535%