Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Brest xG
Expected goals
1.5
Lyon xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
18%
0–2
14%
0–0
12%
1–1
11%
1–2
8%
0–3
7%
Home
Brest
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Lyon
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brest vs Lyon?
Lyon is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brest's current form?
Brest have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Brest won 2, drew 1, and Lyon won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
More from Ligue 1