Match Analysis

BrestvsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
22%
35%
Brest winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.40
1.85Avg goals scored2.42
0.98Avg goals conceded1.34
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Brest xG

Expected goals

1.6

Marseille xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Brest

Brest

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brest vs Marseille?

Brest is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brest's current form?

Brest have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brest Win43%
Draw22%
Marseille Win35%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%