Match Analysis

BrestvsParis FC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
27%
33%
Brest winDrawParis FC win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
2.27Avg goals scored1.20
1.43Avg goals conceded0.74
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Brest xG

Expected goals

1.2

Paris FC xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Brest

Brest

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Paris FC

Paris FC

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brest vs Paris FC?

Brest is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brest's current form?

Brest have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brest Win40%
Draw27%
Paris FC Win33%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%