Brest vs Toulouse
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Brest xG
Expected goals
1.8
Toulouse xG
61%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
0–2
7%
2–1
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Brest
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.2
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brest vs Toulouse?
Toulouse is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brest's current form?
Brest have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Brest won 3, drew 1, and Toulouse won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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