Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Brest xG
Expected goals
1.1
Toulouse xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
9%
3–1
7%
3–0
6%
Home
Brest
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brest vs Toulouse?
Brest is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brest's current form?
Brest have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Brest won 3, drew 1, and Toulouse won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
More from Ligue 1