Match Analysis

BrestvsTroyes

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

91%
6%
3%
Brest winDrawTroyes win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.20
1.98Avg goals scored0.65
1.33Avg goals conceded2.40
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.7

Brest xG

Expected goals

0.6

Troyes xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

11%

4–0

11%

2–0

9%

5–0

8%

3–1

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Brest

Brest

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.4

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brest vs Troyes?

Brest is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brest's current form?

Brest have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brest Win91%
Draw6%
Troyes Win3%
BTTS44%
Over 2.580%