Match Analysis

Le Havre ACvsLorient

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
26%
44%
Le Havre AC winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
1.19Avg goals scored0.83
2.19Avg goals conceded0.59
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Le Havre AC xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lorient xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

0–2

8%

Home

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.2

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Havre AC vs Lorient?

Lorient is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Havre AC's current form?

Le Havre AC have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Le Havre AC Win30%
Draw26%
Lorient Win44%
BTTS50%
Over 2.546%