Match Analysis

Le Havre Ac vs Lorient

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
43%
30%
Le Havre AC winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
0.49Avg goals scored1.09
0.97Avg goals conceded1.06
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Le Havre AC xG

Expected goals

0.8

Lorient xG

18%

Both Teams to Score

12%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

30%

01

24%

10

12%

02

10%

11

10%

12

4%

Home

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Le Havre Acall timeLorient
2W
2D
17 May 26
Lorient02Le Havre AC
21 Sep 25
Le Havre AC11Lorient
28 Jan 24
Lorient33Le Havre AC
3 Sep 23
Le Havre AC30Lorient

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Havre Ac vs Lorient?

Lorient is favored with a 30% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Havre Ac's current form?

Le Havre Ac have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Le Havre Ac won 2, drew 2, and Lorient won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (30% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 18%. Over 2.5 goals: 12%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Le Havre AC Win27%
Draw43%
Lorient Win30%
BTTS18%
Over 2.512%