Match Analysis

Le Mans vs Brest

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
20%
39%
Le Mans winDrawBrest win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.20
1.74Avg goals scored1.40
1.98Avg goals conceded1.44
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

2

Brest xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

7%

12

7%

21

7%

22

7%

13

5%

23

5%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Brest

Brest

LWDDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Brest?

Le Mans is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Le Mans Win41%
Draw20%
Brest Win39%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%