โšก Match Analysis

Le Mans vs Brest

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
14%
10%
Lens winDrawBrest win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.40
1.78Avg goals scored1.12
1.38Avg goals conceded2.13
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“2โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Lens xG

Expected goals

1

Brest xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“0

9%

2โ€“1

9%

3โ€“0

8%

3โ€“1

8%

1โ€“0

6%

1โ€“1

6%

Home

Lens

Lens

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Brest

Brest

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.1

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Brest?

Lens is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Lens Win76%
Draw14%
Brest Win10%
BTTS60%
Over 2.575%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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