Le Mans vs Brest
๐ซ๐ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.1
Lens xG
Expected goals
1
Brest xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2โ0
8%
2โ1
8%
3โ0
8%
3โ1
8%
4โ0
6%
4โ1
6%
Home
Lens
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Brest
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.9
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Brest?
Lens is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Le Mans's current form?
Le Mans have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2โ0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets โ
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Ligue 1