Le Mans vs Lens
๐ซ๐ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Lens xG
Expected goals
1.8
Lens xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1โ1
8%
2โ1
8%
1โ2
7%
2โ2
7%
3โ1
5%
3โ2
5%
Home
Lens
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Lens
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lens?
Lens is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Le Mans's current form?
Le Mans have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets โ
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Ligue 1