Match Analysis

Le Mans vs Lens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
18%
52%
Le Mans winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
1.63Avg goals scored1.93
1.96Avg goals conceded1.54
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

2.7

Lens xG

81%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

7%

22

7%

13

6%

23

6%

11

5%

21

5%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Lens

Lens

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lens?

Lens is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Le Mans Win30%
Draw18%
Lens Win52%
BTTS81%
Over 2.585%

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