Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Le Mans xG
Expected goals
2.7
Lens xG
81%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
6%
2–3
6%
1–1
5%
2–1
5%
Home
Le Mans
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Lens
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lens?
Lens is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Le Mans's current form?
Le Mans have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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