Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Le Mans xG
Expected goals
2
Lille xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
0–2
13%
0–3
9%
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
0–0
7%
Home
Le Mans
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Lille
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lille?
Lille is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Le Mans's current form?
Le Mans have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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