Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Le Mans xG
Expected goals
1.6
Lorient xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
0–1
7%
1–0
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Le Mans
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Lorient
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lorient?
This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.
What is Le Mans's current form?
Le Mans have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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