โšก Match Analysis

Le Mans vs Lorient

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
22%
29%
Lens winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.78Avg goals scored1.64
1.38Avg goals conceded1.44
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“1โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lorient xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

9%

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“2

7%

2โ€“2

7%

1โ€“0

6%

2โ€“0

6%

Home

Lens

Lens

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lorient?

Lens is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Lens Win49%
Draw22%
Lorient Win29%
BTTS67%
Over 2.568%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š