Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Le Mans xG
Expected goals
2.4
Toulouse xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
7%
1–2
6%
2–1
6%
2–3
6%
1–1
5%
1–3
5%
Home
Le Mans
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Toulouse?
Toulouse is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Le Mans's current form?
Le Mans have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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