โšก Match Analysis

Lens vs Aj Auxerre

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
23%
33%
Lens winDrawAJ Auxerre win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
2.04Avg goals scored1.71
1.33Avg goals conceded1.08
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.6

AJ Auxerre xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

10%

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“2

8%

2โ€“2

7%

1โ€“0

6%

0โ€“1

5%

Home

Lens

Lens

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

WWWLD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Lensall timeAj Auxerre
2W
1D
1W
17 Jan 26
Lens1โ€“0AJ Auxerre
4 Oct 25
AJ Auxerre1โ€“2Lens
27 Apr 25
Lens0โ€“4AJ Auxerre
14 Dec 24
AJ Auxerre2โ€“2Lens

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Aj Auxerre?

Lens is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 1, and Aj Auxerre won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Lens Win44%
Draw23%
AJ Auxerre Win33%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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