Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Lens xG
Expected goals
0.9
Lorient xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
0–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–1
12%
2–0
8%
2–1
7%
Home
Lens
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Lorient
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lens vs Lorient?
Lens is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lens's current form?
Lens have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 1, and Lorient won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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