Match Analysis

Lens vs Lorient

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
29%
29%
Lens winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
1.80Avg goals scored0.82
1.49Avg goals conceded0.70
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Lens xG

Expected goals

0.9

Lorient xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

15%

00

14%

11

13%

01

12%

20

8%

21

7%

Home

Lens

Lens

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

WLDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Lensall timeLorient
2W
1D
1W
14 Mar 26
Lorient21Lens
2 Nov 25
Lens30Lorient
3 May 24
Lens20Lorient
4 Nov 23
Lorient00Lens

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Lorient?

Lens is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 1, and Lorient won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lens Win42%
Draw29%
Lorient Win29%
BTTS40%
Over 2.532%

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