Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Lens xG
Expected goals
2
Lyon xG
81%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
6%
2–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–1
5%
1–2
5%
Home
Lens
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
3.6 / 1.5
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Lyon
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lens vs Lyon?
Lens is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lens's current form?
Lens have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 4, drew 1, and Lyon won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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