Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Lens xG
Expected goals
1.9
Marseille xG
75%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
1–1
7%
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
2–3
5%
3–1
5%
Home
Lens
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Marseille
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lens vs Marseille?
Lens is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lens's current form?
Lens have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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