Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Lens xG
Expected goals
0.9
Paris FC xG
33%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
18%
0–1
16%
1–0
15%
1–1
13%
0–2
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Lens
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Paris FC
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lens vs Paris Fc?
Lens is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lens's current form?
Lens have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 0, and Paris Fc won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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