Match Analysis

Lens vs Paris Fc

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
27%
31%
Lens winDrawParis FC win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.40
2.56Avg goals scored0.78
1.68Avg goals conceded0.36
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Lens xG

Expected goals

0.9

Paris FC xG

33%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

18%

01

16%

10

15%

11

13%

02

7%

12

6%

Home

Lens

Lens

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Paris FC

Paris FC

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Lensall timeParis Fc
2W
14 Feb 26
Paris FC05Lens
19 Oct 25
Lens21Paris FC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Paris Fc?

Lens is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 0, and Paris Fc won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lens Win42%
Draw27%
Paris FC Win31%
BTTS33%
Over 2.524%

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