Match Analysis

LillevsAJ Auxerre

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

70%
18%
12%
Lille winDrawAJ Auxerre win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.32Avg goals scored1.69
0.71Avg goals conceded2.26
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Lille xG

Expected goals

0.8

AJ Auxerre xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

12%

1–0

11%

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

3–0

9%

3–1

7%

Home

Lille

Lille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs AJ Auxerre?

Lille is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win70%
Draw18%
AJ Auxerre Win12%
BTTS49%
Over 2.558%