Match Analysis

LillevsBrest

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
25%
23%
Lille winDrawBrest win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.41Avg goals scored2.27
0.63Avg goals conceded1.43
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Lille xG

Expected goals

1

Brest xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Lille

Lille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Brest

Brest

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Brest?

Lille is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win52%
Draw25%
Brest Win23%
BTTS50%
Over 2.548%