Match Analysis

LillevsLe Havre AC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
25%
7%
Lille winDrawLe Havre AC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
1.41Avg goals scored0.64
0.63Avg goals conceded1.35
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Lille xG

Expected goals

0.3

Le Havre AC xG

20%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

25%

2–0

19%

0–0

17%

3–0

9%

1–1

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Lille

Lille

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

DLDLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Le Havre AC?

Lille is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win68%
Draw25%
Le Havre AC Win7%
BTTS20%
Over 2.527%