Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Lille xG
Expected goals
0.6
Lens xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
14%
3–0
12%
1–0
11%
2–1
8%
1–1
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Lille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Lens
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lille vs Lens?
Lille is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lille's current form?
Lille have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lille won 4, drew 1, and Lens won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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