Lille vs Paris Saintgermain
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Lille xG
Expected goals
0.8
Paris Saint-Germain xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
20%
0–1
16%
1–0
16%
1–1
13%
0–2
6%
2–0
6%
Home
Lille
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lille vs Paris Saintgermain?
This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.
What is Lille's current form?
Lille have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Ligue 1