Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Lorient xG
Expected goals
1.1
AS Monaco xG
37%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
0–0
15%
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–2
9%
1–2
7%
Home
Lorient
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
AS Monaco
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lorient vs AS Monaco?
AS Monaco is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lorient's current form?
Lorient have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Ligue 1