Match Analysis

LorientvsAS Monaco

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
31%
42%
Lorient winDrawAS Monaco win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
1.05Avg goals scored1.72
0.96Avg goals conceded1.01
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Lorient xG

Expected goals

1.1

AS Monaco xG

37%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

16%

0–0

15%

1–1

13%

1–0

12%

0–2

9%

1–2

7%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs AS Monaco?

AS Monaco is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win27%
Draw31%
AS Monaco Win42%
BTTS37%
Over 2.530%