Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Lorient xG
Expected goals
1.1
Brest xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–1
10%
0–0
9%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
Home
Lorient
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Brest
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lorient vs Brest?
Brest is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lorient's current form?
Lorient have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lorient won 0, drew 1, and Brest won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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