Match Analysis

LorientvsParis FC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
26%
60%
Lorient winDrawParis FC win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
1.07Avg goals scored1.63
1.29Avg goals conceded0.65
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Lorient xG

Expected goals

1.5

Paris FC xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

18%

0–2

14%

0–0

12%

1–1

11%

1–2

8%

0–3

7%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

LDWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Paris FC

Paris FC

WDWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs Paris FC?

Paris FC is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win14%
Draw26%
Paris FC Win60%
BTTS35%
Over 2.535%