Match Analysis

LorientvsParis FC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
38%
36%
Lorient winDrawParis FC win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
1.05Avg goals scored1.20
0.96Avg goals conceded0.74
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Lorient xG

Expected goals

0.8

Paris FC xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

25%

0–1

20%

1–0

15%

1–1

12%

0–2

8%

1–2

5%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Paris FC

Paris FC

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs Paris FC?

Paris FC is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win26%
Draw38%
Paris FC Win36%
BTTS25%
Over 2.517%