Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3
Lyon xG
Expected goals
0.4
AJ Auxerre xG
31%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
15%
3–0
15%
4–0
11%
1–0
10%
5–0
7%
2–1
6%
Home
Lyon
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
AJ Auxerre
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.5
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lyon vs Aj Auxerre?
Lyon is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lyon's current form?
Lyon have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lyon won 2, drew 2, and Aj Auxerre won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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