Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Lyon xG
Expected goals
0.3
Le Havre AC xG
18%
Both Teams to Score
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
27%
0–0
22%
2–0
16%
1–1
8%
0–1
7%
3–0
6%
Home
Lyon
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Le Havre AC
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lyon vs Le Havre Ac?
Lyon is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lyon's current form?
Lyon have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lyon won 3, drew 2, and Le Havre Ac won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 18%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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