Match Analysis

Lyon vs Nice

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
43%
17%
Lyon winDrawNice win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.83Avg goals scored0.22
0.95Avg goals conceded0.33
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Lyon xG

Expected goals

0.3

Nice xG

10%

Both Teams to Score

5%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

45%

10

22%

01

13%

11

7%

20

6%

02

2%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Nice

Nice

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.2 / 0.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Lyonall timeNice
4W
1D
1W
15 Feb 26
Lyon20Nice
18 Oct 25
Nice32Lyon
9 Mar 25
Nice02Lyon
1 Dec 24
Lyon41Nice
16 Feb 24
Lyon10Nice
27 Aug 23
Nice00Lyon

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Nice?

Lyon is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lyon won 4, drew 1, and Nice won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (45% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 10%. Over 2.5 goals: 5%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lyon Win40%
Draw43%
Nice Win17%
BTTS10%
Over 2.55%

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