Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Lyon xG
Expected goals
0.3
Nice xG
10%
Both Teams to Score
5%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
45%
1–0
22%
0–1
13%
1–1
7%
2–0
6%
0–2
2%
Home
Lyon
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Nice
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.2 / 0.3
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lyon vs Nice?
Lyon is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lyon's current form?
Lyon have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lyon won 4, drew 1, and Nice won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (45% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 10%. Over 2.5 goals: 5%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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