Match Analysis

LyonvsNice

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
24%
13%
Lyon winDrawNice win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.00
1.80Avg goals scored1.04
0.79Avg goals conceded1.14
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Lyon xG

Expected goals

0.6

Nice xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

18%

2–0

14%

0–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Nice

Nice

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Nice?

Lyon is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win63%
Draw24%
Nice Win13%
BTTS36%
Over 2.538%