Lyon vs Stade Rennais
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Lyon xG
Expected goals
2.6
Stade Rennais xG
85%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
1–2
5%
2–1
5%
3–2
5%
3–3
5%
Home
Lyon
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Stade Rennais
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lyon vs Stade Rennais?
Stade Rennais is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lyon's current form?
Lyon have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lyon won 3, drew 0, and Stade Rennais won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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