Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Lyon xG
Expected goals
0.7
Stade Rennais xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
17%
0–0
12%
1–1
12%
2–0
12%
0–1
9%
2–1
8%
Home
Lyon
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Stade Rennais
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lyon vs Stade Rennais?
Lyon is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lyon's current form?
Lyon have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lyon won 3, drew 0, and Stade Rennais won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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