Match Analysis

Marseille vs Le Havre Ac

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

87%
10%
3%
Marseille winDrawLe Havre AC win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
3.11Avg goals scored0.36
0.44Avg goals conceded0.87
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Marseille xG

Expected goals

0.3

Le Havre AC xG

23%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

20%

10

17%

30

15%

40

9%

00

7%

21

6%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

WWWLD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.1 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

LWLDD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.4 / 0.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Marseilleall timeLe Havre Ac
6W
10 May 26
Le Havre AC01Marseille
18 Oct 25
Marseille62Le Havre AC
10 May 25
Le Havre AC13Marseille
5 Jan 25
Marseille51Le Havre AC
19 May 24
Le Havre AC12Marseille
8 Oct 23
Marseille30Le Havre AC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Le Havre Ac?

Marseille is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Marseille won 6, drew 0, and Le Havre Ac won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Marseille Win87%
Draw10%
Le Havre AC Win3%
BTTS23%
Over 2.548%

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