Match Analysis

MarseillevsLe Mans

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
19%
21%
Marseille winDrawLe Mans win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.20
1.46Avg goals scored1.60
1.23Avg goals conceded2.06
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Marseille xG

Expected goals

1.4

Le Mans xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Le Mans

Le Mans

DWDDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Le Mans?

Marseille is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Marseille Win60%
Draw19%
Le Mans Win21%
BTTS69%
Over 2.573%