Marseille vs Paris Saintgermain
FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Marseille xG
Expected goals
1.7
Paris FC xG
37%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
17%
0–2
14%
0–0
10%
1–1
10%
1–2
9%
0–3
8%
Home
Marseille
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Paris FC
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Paris Saintgermain?
Paris FC is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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