Marseille vs Strasbourg
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Marseille xG
Expected goals
1.9
Strasbourg xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
1–3
5%
2–3
5%
Home
Marseille
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Strasbourg
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Strasbourg?
Marseille is favored with a 34% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Marseille won 1, drew 4, and Strasbourg won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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