Match Analysis

Nice vs Stade Rennais

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
15%
68%
Nice winDrawStade Rennais win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
0.26Avg goals scored1.95
1.26Avg goals conceded1.16
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Nice xG

Expected goals

1.8

Stade Rennais xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

22%

02

20%

00

12%

03

12%

11

7%

12

6%

Home

Nice

Nice

LDLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.3 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

WWWDL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Niceall timeStade Rennais
3W
3W
8 Mar 26
Nice04Stade Rennais
26 Oct 25
Stade Rennais12Nice
10 May 25
Stade Rennais20Nice
3 Jan 25
Nice32Stade Rennais
13 Jan 24
Stade Rennais20Nice
5 Nov 23
Nice20Stade Rennais

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Stade Rennais?

Stade Rennais is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Nice won 3, drew 0, and Stade Rennais won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Nice Win17%
Draw15%
Stade Rennais Win68%
BTTS22%
Over 2.535%