Match Analysis

Paris FCvsLe Mans

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

79%
12%
9%
Paris FC winDrawLe Mans win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
1.84Avg goals scored1.24
1.26Avg goals conceded2.27
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.2

Paris FC xG

Expected goals

1

Le Mans xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

Home

Paris FC

Paris FC

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Paris FC vs Le Mans?

Paris FC is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Paris FC's current form?

Paris FC have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Paris FC Win79%
Draw12%
Le Mans Win9%
BTTS61%
Over 2.579%